Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 72.658830 81.816647 91.162675 101.381994 112.210471 123.313323 135.528815
2025-11-23 57.363057 70.399763 84.300938 100.093880 117.413236 135.715713 156.409480
2025-11-30 49.667022 64.982726 81.838095 101.493075 123.534202 147.268590 174.547357
2025-12-07 43.927230 60.924325 80.162370 103.099187 129.296625 157.933010 191.268233
2025-12-14 37.863530 55.795170 76.676513 102.116758 131.680992 164.446903 203.030166
2025-12-21 32.271330 50.671762 72.730426 100.181458 132.612709 169.020428 212.343779
2025-12-28 30.259518 49.770422 73.650930 103.808176 139.834613 180.622875 229.491114
2026-01-04 27.728447 47.955372 73.263141 105.709345 144.907275 189.661935 243.642701
2026-01-11 24.418852 44.820945 71.007415 105.154858 146.919485 195.041320 253.500087
2026-01-18 21.511483 41.975200 68.921431 104.643015 148.846472 200.213299 263.026779
2026-01-25 19.337124 39.966370 67.776035 105.186156 151.952677 206.695933 274.013786
2026-02-01 16.925152 37.391554 65.723427 104.451888 153.397795 211.135839 282.553130
2026-02-08 15.018146 35.431421 64.418625 104.637541 155.974748 216.954493 292.774837
2026-02-15 12.912011 32.949775 62.257220 103.605671 156.964165 220.822305 300.665886
2026-02-22 11.741117 31.866665 61.974246 104.979848 160.918434 228.225460 312.715601
2026-03-01 10.754814 30.994976 61.930143 106.626126 165.184831 235.987228 325.181323
2026-03-08 9.169477 28.891124 59.980440 105.623261 166.018822 239.525171 332.570028
2026-03-15 7.531581 26.459566 57.400109 103.651343 165.526041 241.375204 337.882786
2026-03-22 7.319432 26.756106 58.939002 107.346988 172.347885 252.221597 354.025107
2026-03-29 6.746691 26.263039 59.228276 109.283905 176.874473 260.230901 366.746833
2026-04-05 5.727053 24.700124 57.770851 108.719023 178.098401 264.124294 374.472291
2026-04-12 4.826098 23.238523 56.387924 108.197565 179.334340 268.000660 382.153240
2026-04-19 4.199524 22.295990 55.785823 108.750908 181.961304 273.594730 391.912298